NARCliM climate modelling for the ACT

NARCliM is a partnership between the NSW, ACT and SA governments. It works to create regional climate change projections for south-eastern Australia. This region includes the ACT. The projections help us prepare for future changes in our climate.

About NARCliM

NARCliM (NSW and ACT Regional Climate Modelling) is a partnership between the NSW, ACT and SA governments. It works to project a range of likely future climate changes in our region.

NARCliM creates high-resolution climate change projections for south-eastern Australia, including the ACT. Decision-makers and researchers use the projections to inform policy, climate adaptation and risk management.

The regional models generate data for over 100 meteorological variables. They include these common variables:

  • temperature
  • precipitation
  • surface pressure
  • specific humidity
  • wind speed
  • surface evaporation
  • soil moisture
  • snow amount
  • sea surface temperature.

These and other variables are available from the NARCliM Climate Data Portal.

Find out more about NARCliM.

Climate Change Snapshot

The Snapshot summarises the NARCliM projections for the ACT for two 20-year periods:

  • 2020-2039 (near future)
  • 2060-2079 (far future).

Key points in the snapshot include:

  • maximum daytime temperatures will rise by 0.6 to 0.9°C in the near future
  • overnight temperatures will rise by 0.4 to 0.7°C in the near future
  • the number of hot days will rise
  • the number of cold nights will go down
  • the amount of rainfall will go down in spring and increase in both summer and autumn.

See the full report: ACT Climate Change Snapshot 2014 (PDF 6.9MB)

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Acknowledgement of Country

We acknowledge the Ngunnawal people as traditional custodians of the ACT and recognise any other people or families with connection to the lands of the ACT and region. We acknowledge and respect their continuing culture and the contribution they make to the life of this city and this region.